Models Predict Next Zoonotic-Based Pandemic
#ZoonoticModel
Models Predict Next Zoonotic-Based Pandemic
#ZoonoticModel
Research Terms
African Studies Antarctic Studies Latin American Studies Animal Ecology Biogeography Forest Ecosystems Tropical Ecosystems Population Ecology Environmental Conservation Environmental Protection Environmental Restoration Land Use Global Environmental Change Tropical Forests Madagascar Uganda Malawi South Africa (Republic of) Zambia Ghana Antarctic Ecuador Biological Models Parasitology Sociobiology Animal Migration Natural History Bacterial and Fungal Diseases Sexually Transmitted Diseases Viral Diseases Tropical Diseases Schistosomiasis (Snail Fever) Public Health Population Distribution Population Geography Geography
Keywords
Aedes Aegypti Aedes Albopictus Chikungunya Climate Change Climate-Health Dengue Global Health Malaria Medical Geography Social-Ecological Systems Zika
Preprints
Taylor, R.A., Ryan, S.J., Lippi, C.A., Hall, D.G., Narouei-Khandan, H.A., Rohr, J.R., Johnson, L.R. 2018. Predicting the fundamental thermal niche of crop pests and diseases in a changing world: a case study on citrus greening. BioRXiv doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/465898
?Ryan, S.J.*†, Mundis, S.J.†, Aguirre, A.†, Lippi, C.A., Beltran, E., Heras, F., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M*., Neira, M.V*. 2018. Phenotypic and genotypic resistance to commonly used insecticides in Aedes aegypti among four cities in southern Ecuador. BioRXiv doi: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/early/2018/10/11/441360
†=equal first authorship
Lippi, C.A., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Bajana Loor, M.E.F., Duenas Zambrano, J.E., Epinoza Lopez, N.A., Blackburn, J.K., Ryan, S.J. 2018. Geographic shifts in Aedes aegypti habitat suitability in Ecuador using larval surveillance data and ecological niche modeling: implications of climate change for public health vector control
BioRXiv doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/404293
?James, T.G. and Ryan, S.J. 2017. Differences in STI knowledge accuracy and STI/HIV testing among a random sample of college students: A secondary survey analysis. SocArXiv doi: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6VFK4
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2019
James, T.G., Cheong, J., Ryan, S.J. accepted. Sexual risk factors and HIV testing intention among at-risk college students who have never been tested. Sexually Transmitted Diseases.
Blackburn, J.K., Ganz, H.H., Ponciano, J.M., Turner, W.C., Ryan, S.J., Kamath, P.L., Cizauskas, C., Kausrud, K., Holt, R.D., Stenseth, N.C., Getz, W.M. accepted
Modeling R0 for pathogens with environmental transmission: animal movements, pathogen populations, and local infectious zones.Int. J. Env. Res in Public Health (IJERPH)
Ryan, S.J., Carlson, C.J., Mordecai, E.A., Johnson, L.R. accepted. Global expansion and redistribution of Aedes-borne virus transmission risk with climate change. ?PLOS Negl Trop Dis. [BioRXiv doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/172221]
Ryan, S.J., Lippi, C.A., Nightingale, R., Hamerlinck, G., Borbor-Cordova, M.J., Cruz B, M., Ortega, F., Leon, R., Waggoner, E., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M. 2019. Socio-Ecological Factors Associated with Dengue Risk and Aedes aegypti Presence in the Galápagos Islands, Ecuador. Int. J. Env. Res in Public Health (IJERPH)
Rund, S.S.C., Braak, K., Cator, L., Copas, K., Emrich, S.J., Giraldo-Calderon, G.I., Johansson, M.A., Heydari, N., Hobern, D., Kelly, S.A., Lawson, D., Lord, C., MacCallum, R.M., Roche, D.G., Ryan, S.J., Schigel, D., Vandegrift, K., Watts, M., Zaspel, J.M., Pawar, S. accepted. Minimum Information for Reusable Arthropod Abundance Data (MIReAAD). Scientific Data
?Jaramillo-Ochoa, R., Sippy, R., Farrell, D.F., Cueva-Aponte, C., Beltrán-Ayala, E., Gonzaga, J.L., Ordoñez-León, T., Quintana, F.A, Ryan, S.J., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M. accepted. Political instability in Venezuela threatens local elimination of malaria: Recent resurgence of cases in the Ecuador-Peru border region. Emerging Infectious Diseases [LINK]
Cheeseman, A.E., Cohen, J.B., Ryan, S.J., Whipps, C.W. online. Determinants of home range size of imperiled New England and introduced eastern cottontails. Can. J. Zool. [LINK]
Nekorchuk, D., Morris, L.R., Asher, V., Hunter, D.L., Ryan, S.J., Blackburn, J.K. 2019. Potential Bacillus anthracis risk zones for male bison in Southwestern Montana. J. Wild. Dis. 55(1): 136-141 [LINK]
Tao, D., McGill, B., Hamerly, T., Kobayashi, R., Khare, P., Dziedzic, A., Leski, T., Holtz, A., Shull, B., Jedlicka, A.E., Walzer, A., Slowey, P.D., Slowey, C.C., Nsango, S.E., Stenger, D.A., Chaponda, M., Mulenga, M., Jacobsen, K.H., Sullivan, D.J., Ryan, S.J., Ansumana, R., Moss, W.H., Morlais, I., Dinglasan, R.R. 2019.
A saliva-based rapid test to quantify the infectious subclinical malaria parasite reservoir. Science Translational Medicine 11, eaan4479. [LINK]
2018
Nekorchuk, D.M., Gomez, J.P., Mao, L., Ryan, S.J., Ponciano, J.M., Blackburn, J.K. 2018. Decoupling environmental effects and host population dynamics in a classic reservoir-driven disease. PLOS ONE 13(12): e0208621. [LINK]
Southworth, J., Bunting, E., Zhu, L., Ryan, S.J., Herrero, H.V., Waylen, P.R., Muñoz-Carpena, R., Campo-Bescós, M.A., and Kaplan, D. 2018. Using a coupled dynamic factor - random forest analysis (DFRFA) to reveal drivers of spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the Semi-Arid Regions of Southern Africa. PLOS ONE 13(12): e0208400. [LINK]
Fuda, R.K., Ryan, S.J., Cohen, J.B., Hartter, J., Frair, J.L. 2018. Assessing the impacts of oil exploration and restoration on mammals in Murchison Falls Conservation Area, Uganda. African Journal of Ecology 56(4): 804-817 [PDF] part of a Special Issue on Camera Trapping in Africa
Cheeseman, A.E., Ryan, S.J., Whipps, C.M., and Cohen, J.B. 2018. Competition alters seasonal resource selection and promotes use of invasive shrubs by an imperiled native cottontail. Ecology and Evolution 8:11122–11133? [PDF]
Youker-Smith, T., Boersch-Supan, P., Whipps, C.M., Ryan, S.J. 2018. Environmental drivers of ranavirus in free living amphibians in constructed ponds.
EcoHealth 15(3): 608–618 [PDF]
?James, T.G. and Ryan, S.J. 2018. HIV knowledge mediates the relationship between HIV testing history and stigma in college students. Journal of American College Health 66(7): 561-569 [PDF]
Carlson, C. J., Dougherty, E., Boots, M., Getz. W.M., Ryan, S.J. 2018. Consensus and conflict among ecological forecasts of Zika virus outbreaks in the United States. Sci Reports 8: 4921 [LINK]
Shocket, M.S., Ryan S.J., Mordecai, E.A. 2018 Temperature explains broad patterns of Ross River virus transmission. eLife. 2018(7): e37762.
doi:10.7554/eLife.37762 [PDF]
Tesla, B., Demakovsky, L.R., Mordecai, E.A., Ryan, S.J., Bonds, M.H., Ngonghala, C.N., Brindley, M.A., Murdock, C.C. 2018. Temperature drives Zika transmission: evidence from empirical and mathematical models. Proc Roy Soc B 285: 20180795 [PDF]
Lowe, R.A., Gasparrini, A., Van Meerbeeck, C.J., Lippi, C.A., Mahon, R., Trotman, A.R., Rollock, L., Hinds, A.Q.J., Ryan, S.J., Stewart Ibarra, A.M. 2018. Non-linear and delayed impacts of climate on dengue risk in Barbados: a modelling study. PLOS MED 15(7): e1002613 [LINK]
Bunting, E., Southworth, J., Herrero, H., Ryan, S.J., and Waylen, P. 2018. Understanding Long-Term Savanna Vegetation Persistence across Three Drainage Basins in Southern Africa. Remote Sens.10(7), 1013 [LINK]
Ryan, S.J.*, Lippi, C.A.*, Carlson, C.J., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Romero, M., Cox, S., Mahon, R., Trotman, A., Rollock, L., King, D., Daniel, S., Gittens-St. Hillaire, M. 2018. Zika Virus Outbreak, Barbados, 2015-2016. Am J. Trop Med Hyg. 98(6): 1587-1589 [LINK]
?Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Ryan, S.J., Kenneson, A., King, C.A., Abbott, M., Barbachano, A., Beltran, E., Borbor-Cordova, M.J., Cardenas, W.B., Cueva, C., Finkelstein, J., Lupone, C., Jarman, R., Maljkovic Berry, I., Mehta, S., Polhemus, M., Silva, M., Endy, T. 2018. The burden of dengue fever and chikungunya in southern coastal Ecuador: Epidemiology, clinical presentation, and phylogenetics from the first two years of a prospective study. Am J. Trop Med Hyg. 98(5): 1444-1459 [LINK]
Lippi, C.A., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Munoz, A.G., Borbor Cordova, M.J., Mejia, R., Rivero, K., Castillo, K., Cardenas, W.B., Ryan, S.J. 2018.The social and spatial ecology of dengue presence and burden during an outbreak in Guayaquil, Ecuador, 2012. Int. J. Env. Res in Public Health (IJERPH)15(4): 827 [LINK]
Boersch-Supan, P.H., Johnson, L.R., Phillips, R., Ryan, S.J. 2018 Surface temperatures of albatross eggs and nests. Emu - Austral Ornithology 118(2): 224-229 ?[PDF]
Dobbins, M., Steinberg, M., Broadbent, E., Ryan, S. 2018. Habitat use, activity patterns and human interactions with jaguars Panthera onca in southern Belize. Oryx, 52(2), 276-281. [PDF]
Salerno, J., Chapman, C.A., Diem, J.E., Dowhaniuk, N. Goldman, A., MacKenzie, C. A., Omeja, P.A., Palace, M.W., Reyna-Hurtado, R., Ryan, S.J., Hartter, J. 2018. Park isolation in anthropogenic landscapes: land change and livelihoods at park boundaries in the African Albertine Rift. Regional Environmental Change 18(3): 913-928. [PDF]
Johnson, L.R., Gramacy, R.B., Cohen, J., Mordecai, E., Murdock, C., Rohr, J., Ryan, S.J., Stewart-Ibarra, A., Weikel, D. 2018. Phenomenological forecasting of disease incidence using heteroskedastic Gaussian processes: a dengue case study. Annals of Applied Statistics 12(1), 27-66. [PDF LINK]
?Ryan, S.J., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Ordóñez, E., Chu, W., Finkelstein, J.L., King, C.A., Escobar, L.E., Lupone, C., Heras, F., Tauzer, E., Waggoner, E., James, T.G., Cárdenas, W.B., Polhemus, M. 2018. Environmental Vibrio cholerae dynamics in an estuarine system in southern coastal Ecuador. Int. J. Env. Res in Public Health (IJERPH) 15(3), 486 [LINK]
Dowhaniuk, N., Hartter, J., Ryan, S.J., Palace, M.W., Congalton, R.G. 2018. The Impact of Industrial Oil Development on a Protected Area Landscape: Demographic Change and Corporate Social Responsibility at Murchison Falls Conservation Area, Uganda. Population and Environment 39(3), 197-218. ?[PDF]
Getz, W.M, Marshall, C., Carlson, C.J., Giuggioli, L., Ryan, S.J., Romanach, S., Boettiger, C., Chamberlian, S., Larsen, L., D'Odorico, P, O'Sullivan, D. 2018. Making ecological models adequate. Ecology Letters 21: 153–166 ?[LINK]
Southworth J., Ryan S.J., Bunting E., Herrero H.V., Nagendra H., Gibbes C., Agarwal S. 2018. "Chapter 16: Protected Areas, Climate Change, and Ecosystem Sustainability", in Comprehensive Remote Sensing, Vol 9, Liang, S., (Ed.), Elsevier, Oxford, pp 202-219. [LINK]
2017
Kenneson, A., Beltran-Ayala, E., Borbor-Cordova, M.J., Polhemus, M.E., Ryan, S.J., Endy, T.P., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M. 2017. Social-ecological factors and preventive actions decrease the risk of dengue infection at the household-level: results from a prospective dengue surveillance study in Machala, Ecuador. PLOS NTDs 11(12): e0006150 ?[LINK]
Bardosh, K.L., Ryan, S.J., Ebi, K., Welburn, S., Singer, B. 2017. Addressing Vulnerability, Building Resilience: Community-based Adaptation to Vector-Borne Diseases in the Context of Global Change. Infectious Diseases of Poverty, 6:166 [PDF]
Liang, S., Kintziger, K., Reaves, P., Ryan, S.J. 2017. "Chapter 4: Climate Change Impacts on Human Health", in Florida’s Climate: Changes, Variations, & Impacts, Florida Climate Institute, pp. 125-152 ?[PDF]
Ryan, S.J.*, Lippi, C.A.*, Boersch-Supan, P.H., Heydari, N., Silva, M., Adrian, J., Noblecilla, L.F., Ayala, E.B., Encalada, M.D., Larsen, D.A., Krisher, J.T., Krisher, L., Fregosi, L.N., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M. 2017. Quantifying Seasonal and Diel Variation in Anopheline and Culex Human Biting Rates in Southern Ecuador. Malaria Journal, 16:479 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J.*, Carlson, C.J.*, Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Borbor-Cordova, M.J., Romero, M.M., Cox, S., Mahon, R., Trotman, A., St. Ville, E.S., Ahmed, S. 2017. Zika Virus Outbreak, Dominica, 2016. Emerging Infectious Diseases 23(11):1926-1927 [PDF]
Kracalik, I., Malania, L., Broladze, M., Navdarashvili, A., Imnadze, P., Ryan, S.J., Blackburn, J.K. 2017. Changing livestock policy alters the epidemiology of human anthrax, Georgia, 2000-2013. Vaccine, 35(46): 6283-6289. [PDF]
Johnson, L.R., Boersch-Supan, P.H., Phillips, R.A., Ryan, S.J. 2017. Changing measurements or changing movements? Sampling scale and movement model identifiability across generations of biologging technology. Ecology and Evolution, 7:9257–9266. [PDF]
MacKenzie, C.A., Fuda, R.K., Ryan, S.J., Hartter, J. 2017. Drilling through Conservation Policy: Oil Exploration in Murchison Falls Protected Area, Uganda. Conservation & Society, 15(3): 322-333. [PDF]
Bardosh, K.L., Jean, L., Beau de Rochers, V.M., Lemoine, J.F., Okech, B., Ryan, S.J., Welburn, S., Morris, J. G. 2017. Polisye Kont Moustik: A culturally competent approach to larval source reduction in the context of lyphatic filariasis and malaria elimination in Haiti. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease.? 2(39) [PDF]
Pettorelli, N., Nagendra, H., Rocchini, D., Rowcliffe, M., Williams, R., Ahumada, J., De Angelo, C., Atzberger, C., Boyd, D., Buchanan, G., Chauvenet, A., Disney, M., Duncan, C., Fatoyinbo, T., Fernandez, N., Haklay, M., He, K., Horning, N., Kelly, N., de Klerk, H., Liu, X., Merchant, N., Paruelo, J., Roy, H., Roy, S., Ryan, S., Sollmann, R., Swenson, J. and Wegmann, M. 2017. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation: three years on. Remote Sens Ecol Conserv, 3: 53–56. [PDF]
Mordecai, E.A., Cohen, J., Evans, M.V., Gudapati, P., Johnson, L.R., Lippi, C.A., Miazgowicz, K., Murdock, C.C., Rohr, J.R., Ryan, S.J., Savage, V., Shocket, M., Stewart Ibarra, A.M., Thomas, M.B., Weikel, D.P. 2017. Detecting the impact of temperature on transmission of Zika, dengue, and chikungunya using mechanistic models. PLOS NTDs. 11(4): e0005568 [PDF]
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Ryan, S.J., Palace, M., Hartter, J., Diem, J.E., Chapman, C.A., Southworth, J. 2017. Population pressure and global markets drive a decade of forest cover change in Africa's Albertine Rift. Applied Geography. 81:52-59 [PDF]
Boersch-Supan, P., Ryan, S.J., Johnson, L.R. 2017. deBInfer: Bayesian inference for dynamical models of biological systems in R. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 8(4): 511-518. [PDF] (R package on CRAN)
2016
Youker-Smith, T.E., Whipps, C.M., Ryan, S.J. 2016. Detection of an FV3-like Ranavirus in Wood Frogs (Lithobates sylvaticus) and Green Frogs (Lithobates clamitans) in a Constructed Vernal Pool Network in Central New York State. Herpetological Review. 47(4): 595-598 [PDF]
Fuda, R.K., Ryan, S.J., Cohen, J., Hartter, J., Frair, J. 2016. Assessing impacts to primary productivity at the park edge in Murchison Falls Conservation Area, Uganda. Ecosphere. 7(10):e01486.10.1002/ecs2.1486 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Gavard, E.J., Cheeseman, A.E., Cohen, J.B., Whipps, C.W. 2016. Reference and baseline hematocrit measures for the threatened New England cottontail (Sylvilagus transitionalis) and comparison with sympatric Eastern cottontail (Sylvilagus floridanus) rabbits. Journal of Zoo and Wildlife Medicine. 47(2):659-662 [PDF]
Cameron, E.Z.* and Ryan, S.J.* 2016. Welfare at multiple scales: importance of zoo elephant population welfare in a world of declining wild populations. Invited formal comment. PLOS ONE 11(7): e0158701 [PDF]
Formal comment on the co-edited collection Epidemiological Investigations of North American Zoo Elephant Welfare (http://collections.plos.org/elephant-welfare)
Handel A., Beltran, E., Borbor Cordova M.J., Fessler A., Finkelstein J., Robalino, R., Ryan S.J., Stewart Ibarra A.M. 2016. Knowledge, attitudes, and practices regarding dengue infection among healthcare providers in Machala, Ecuador. BMC Tropical Diseases, Travel Medicine and Vaccines. (2):8 Online: DOI: 10.1186/s40794-016-0024-y [PDF]
Borbor-Cordova, M., Ayala, E., Cardenas, W., Endy, T., Finkelstein, J., Leon, R., Muñoz, Á., Mejía, R., Polhemus, M., Recalde Coronel, G., Ryan, S., Stewart-Ibarra, A. 2016. "Chapter 5: Developing and delivering health-tailored climate products and services, Case study 5.C Vector-virus microclimate surveillance system for dengue control in Machala, Ecuador", Climate Services for Health: Global case studies of enhancing decision support for climate risk management and adaptation, WHO/WMO, Geneva. pp.106-109 [PDF]
Taylor, R., Ryan, S.J., Brashares, J., Johnson, L.R. 2016. Hunting, food subsidies, and mesopredator release: the dynamics of crop-raiding baboons in a managed landscape. Ecology 97(4): 951-960 [PDF] (Supporting Data Publication: Ryan, S. J. 2015. Primate life history data. https://dx.doi.org/10.5063/F1HQ3WT0.)
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Hartter, J., Dowhaniuk, N., MacKenzie, C.A., Ryan, S.J., Diem, J.E., Palace, M.W., Chapman, C.A. 2016. Perceptions of Risk in Communities near Parks in an African Biodiversity Hotspot. Ambio. 45(6), 692-705 ?[PDF]
Southworth, J., Zhu, L., Bunting, E., Ryan, S.J., Herrero, H., Waylen, P.R., Hill, M.J. 2016. Changes in Vegetation Persistence across Global Savanna Landscapes, 1982-2010. Journal of Land Use Science, 11(1): 7-32 . [PDF]
2015
Data Publication: Ryan, S. J. 2015. Primate life history data. https://dx.doi.org/10.5063/F1HQ3WT0.
Ryan, S.J., McNally, A., Johnson, L.R., Mordecai, E.A., Ben-Horin, T., Paaijmans, K.P., Lafferty, K.D. 2015. Mapping physiological suitability limits of malaria in Africa under climate change. Journal of vector borne and zoonotic diseases 15(12): 817-725 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Ben-Horin, T., Johnson, L.R. 2015. Malaria control and senescence: the importance of accounting for the pace and shape of ageing in wild mosquitoes. Ecosphere 6(9):170 [PDF]
Escobar, L.E., Ryan, S.J., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Finkelstein, J.L., King, C.A., Qiao, H., Polhemus, M.E. 2015. A Global Map of Suitability for Coastal Vibrio cholerae Under Current and Future Climate Conditions. Acta Tropica 149: 202-211 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Southworth, J., Hartter, J., Dowhaniuk, N., Fuda, R., Diem, J. 2015. Household level influences on fragmentation in an African park landscape. Applied Geography 58: 18-31. [PDF]
Johnson, L.R. Ben-Horin, T., Lafferty, K.D., McNally, A., Mordecai, E., Paaijmans, K.P., Pawar, S., Ryan, S.J. 2015. Understanding uncertainty in temperature effects on vector-borne disease: A Bayesian approach. Ecology 96(1): 203-213. [PDF]
Hartter, J., Ryan, S.J., Mackenzie, C.A., Goldman, A., Dowhaniuk, N., Palace, M.W., Diem, J.E., Chapman, C.A. 2015. Now there is no land: A story of ethnic migration in a protected area landscape in western Uganda. Population and Environment 36(4): 452-479 [PDF]
2014
Stewart Ibarra, A.M., Munoz, A.G., Ryan, S.J., Borbor, M.J., Beltran Ayala, E., Finkelstein, J.L., Mejia, R., Ordonez, T., Recalde Coronel, G.C., Rivero, K. 2014. Spatiotemporal clustering, climate periodicity, and social-ecological risk factors for dengue during an outbreak in Machala, Ecuador, in 2010. BMC Infectious Diseases 14:610 [PDF]
L.R. Johnson, K.D. Lafferty, A. McNally, E. Mordecai, K. Paaijmans, S. Pawar, S.J. Ryan. 2014. "Mapping the distribution of Malaria: Current Approaches and Future Directions". in Analyzing and Modeling Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Infectious Diseases. D. Chen, B. Moulin, J. Wu (Eds). John Wiley & Sons. pp 189-209 [PDF] [BOOK LINK]
Stewart Ibarra, A.M., Luzadis, V.A., Borbor Cordova, M.J., Silva, M., Ordoñez, T., Beltrán Ayala, E., Ryan, S.J. 2014. A social-ecological analysis of community perceptions of dengue fever and Aedes aegypti in Machala, Ecuador. BMC Public Health 14:1135 [PDF]
Diem, J.E., Hartter, J., Ryan, S.J., Palace, M.W. 2014. Validation of satellite rainfall products for western Uganda. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 15(5): 2030-2038. [PDF]
Cornélis, D., Melletti, M., Korte, L., Ryan, S.J., Mirabile, M., Prin, T., and Prins, H.H.T. 2014. Species Account: African buffalo (Syncerus caffer Sparrman, 1779). in
Ecology, Evolution and Behaviour of Wild Cattle: Implications for Conservation. Melleti, M. and Burton, J., (Eds). Cambridge. pp 326-372 [PDF] [BOOK LINK]
Diem, J.E., Ryan, S.J., Hartter, J., Palace, M.W. 2014. Satellite-based rainfall data reveal a recent drying trend in central equatorial Africa. Climatic Change. 126(1-2): 263-272. [PDF]
Hartter, J., Solomon, J., Ryan, S.J., Jacobson, S.K., Goldman, A. 2014. Contrasting perceptions of ecosystem services of an African forest park. Environmental Conservation 41(4): 330-340. [PDF]
Dowhaniuk, N., Hartter, J., Ryan, S.J. 2014. Impact of spatial data discrepancies on protected areas management: an example from East Africa. Environmental Management 54(3): 596-605. [PDF]
2013
Stewart Ibarra, A.M., Ryan, S.J., Beltran, E. Mejía, R., Silva, M., Muñoz, A. 2013. Dengue vector dynamics (Aedes aegypti) influenced by climatic and social factors in Ecuador: implications for targeted control. PLOS ONE 8(11): e78263 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Jones, J.H., Dobson, A.P. 2013. Interactions between social structure, demography, and transmission determine disease persistence in primates. PLOS ONE 8(10): e7686 [PDF]
Supplementary Discussion S1: From theory to reality: how can we establish and understand contact rates for these transmission modes? [PDF]
Hartter, J.*, Ryan, S.J.*, MacKenzie, C.A., Parker, J.N., Strasser, C. Spatially explicit data: stewardship and ethical challenges in science. PLOS Biology 11(9): e1001364 [PDF]
Mordecai, E.A., Paaijmans, K.P., Johnson, L.R., Balzer, C.H., Ben-Horin, T., deMoor, E., McNally, A., Pawar, S., Ryan, S.J., Smith, T.C., Lafferty, K.D., 2013. Physiological constraints dramatically lower the expected temperature for peak malaria transmission. Ecology Letters 16(1):22-30. [PDF]
2012
Ryan, S.J. and Hartter, J. 2012. Beyond ecological success of corridors: integrating land use history and demographic change to provide a whole landscape perspective. Ecological Restoration. 30(4): 320-328 [PDF] Invited paper: Special Issue on Design Approaches to Ecological Restoration in Ecological Restoration.
M.J. Tildesley and Ryan, S.J. 2012. Disease prevention versus data privacy:using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models. PLOS Computational Biology8(11): e1002723 [PDF]
Rudnick, D., Ryan, S.J., Preziosi, D., Epps, C., Deiffenbach, F., Kintsch, J., Beier, P., Jenness, J., Perkl., R., Trombulak, S., Hartter, J., Gerber, L., Merenlender, A., Austen, D., Cushman, S. 2012. The role of landscape connectivity in planning and implementing conservation and restoration priorities. Issues in Ecology 16. [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Cross, P.C., Winnie, J, Jr, Hay, C., Bowers, J., Getz, W.M. 2012. The utility of NDVI for predicting African buffalo forage quality. Journal of Wildlife Management. 76(7):1499-1508 [PDF] [COVER]
Data files: DOI:10.5061/dryad.7jd83
Fecal Nitrogen and Phosphorous measurements: NP_01-02_KNP
Buffalo Body Condition Data
Vegetation and fecal indicators of Nitrogen and Phosphorous
Ryan, S.J., Brashares, J. S, Walsh, C., Milbers, K., Kilroy, C., Chapman, C.A. 2012. A survey of gastrointestinal parasites of olive baboons (Papio anubis) in human settlement areas of Mole National Park, Ghana. J. Parasitology 98:885-888. [PDF]
Hartter, J., Stampone, M.D., Ryan, S.J., Kirner, K., Chapman, C.A., Goldman, A., 2012. Patterns and perceptions of climate change around a biodiversity hotspot. PLOS ONE 7(2): e32408 [PDF]
2011
Ryan, S.J. and Walsh, P.D. 2011. Consequences of non-intervention for infectious disease in African great apes. PLOS ONE 6(12): e29030. [PDF]
Wolf, A., Anderegg, W., Ryan, S.J., Christensen, J. 2011. Robust detection of plant species range shifts under biased sampling regimes. Ecosphere 2(10):115 [PDF]
Hartter, J.* and Ryan, S.J.*, Southworth, J., and Chapman, C.A. 2011. Landscapes as continuous entities: forest disturbance and recovery in the Albertine Rift Landscape. Landscape Ecology 26(6):877-890 [PDF]
Stampone, M., Hartter, J., Chapman, C.A., Ryan, S.J. 2011.Localized precipitation trends in and around a forest park in east equatorial Africa. Research Journal of Environmental and Earth Sciences 3(1):14-23 [PDF]
Petorelli, N., Ryan, S.J., Mueller, T., Bunnefeld, N., Jedrzejewska, B., Lima, M., Kausrud, K. 2011. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI): unforeseen successes in animal ecology. Climate Research 46(1):15-27 [PDF]
2006 - 2010
Hartter, J. and Ryan, S.J. 2010. Top-down or bottom-up? Decentralization, natural resource management and usufruct rights in the forests and wetlands of Western Uganda. Land Use Policy 27(3): 815-826. [PDF]
Ladau, J. and Ryan, S.J. 2010. MPowering ecologists: community assembly tools for community assembly rules. Oikos 119(7):1064-1069 [PDF]
Chapman, C.A., Huffman,M.A., Ryan,S.J., Sengupta, R., and Goldberg, T. 2009. “Ways forward in the study of primate parasite ecology”. in Primate parasite ecology: the dynamics and study of host-parasite relationships. Huffman, M.A. and Chapman, C.A., eds. Cambridge Studies in Biological and Evolutionary Anthropology. Cambridge University Press. [PDF]
Sánchez, M.S., Lloyd-Smith, J.O., Williams, B.G., Porco, T.C., Ryan, S.J., Borgdorff, M.W., Mansoer, J., Dye, C. and Getz, W.M. 2009. Incongruent HIV and tuberculosis co-dynamics in Kenya: Interacting epidemics monitor each other. Epidemics 1(1):14-20 [PDF]
Bar-David, S, Bar-David, I, Cross, P.C. Ryan, S.J., Knechtel, C.U., Getz, W.M. 2009. Methods for assessing movement path recursion with application to African buffalo in South Africa. Ecology 90(9):2467–2479 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Starks, P.T., Milton, K. and Getz, W.M. 2008. Intersexual conflict and group size in Alouatta palliata: a 23-year evaluation. International Journal of Primatology. 29:405-420 [PDF]
Gusset, M.* and Ryan, S.J.*, Hofmeyr, M., Van Dyk, G., Davies-Mostert, H.T., Graf, J.A., Owen, C., Szykman, M., Macdonald, D.W., Monfort, S.L., Wildt, D.E., Maddock, A.H., Mills, M.G.L., Slotow, R., Somers, M.J. 2008. Efforts going to the dogs? Evaluating attempts to re-introduce endangered wild dogs in South Africa. Journal of Applied Ecology 45:100-108 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Knechtel, C.U. and Getz, W.M. 2007. Ecological cues, gestation length and birth timing in African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer). Behavioral Ecology 18:635-644 [PDF]
Getz, W.M., Fortmann-Roe, S, Cross, P.C., Lyons, A.J. Ryan, S.J., et al. 2007. LoCoH: Nonparametric kernel methods for constructing home ranges and utilization distributions. PLOS ONE 2(2): e207. [PDF]
Ryan, S.J. 2006. The role of culture in conservation of small or endangered populations. Journal of Conservation Biology 20(4):1321-1324 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J., Knechtel, C.U. and Getz, W.M.2006. Range and habitat selection of African buffalo in South Africa. Journal of Wildlife Management 70(3):764-776 [PDF]
Redfern, J.V., Ryan, S.J. and Getz, W.M. 2006. Defining Herbivore Assemblages in the Kruger National Park: A Correlative Coherence Approach. Oecologia 146:632-640 [PDF]
Pre-2006
Ryan, S.J., and Getz, W.M. 2005. A spatial location allocation GIS framework for managing water sources in a savanna nature reserve. South African Journal of Wildlife Research 35(2):153-178 [PDF]
Ryan, S.J. and Jordaan, W. 2005. Activity Patterns of African Buffalo Syncerus caffer in the Lower Sabie Region, Kruger National Park, South Africa. Koedoe 48(2): 117-124 [PDF]
Faust, L.J., Thompson, S.D., Earnhardt, J.M., Brown, E., Ryan, S.J., Sherman, M. and Yurenka, M. 2003. Using Stage-Based System Dynamics Modeling for Demographic Management of Captive Populations. Zoo Biology, 22:1, Wiley-Liss [PDF]
Ryan, S., Roth, A.M., Thompson,S.D. and Gold, K.C. 2002. Effects of hand rearing on the reproductive success of Western Lowland Gorillas in North America. Zoo Biology 21:3, Wiley-Liss [PDF]
Ryan, S.J. and Thompson, S.D., 2001. Disease Risk and Inter-institutional Transfer of Specimens in Cooperative Breeding Programs: Herpes and the Elephant Species Survival Plans, Zoo Biology 20:2, Wiley-Liss [PDF]
Dobson, A., Ralls. K., Foster, M., Soule, M.,Simberloff, D., Doak, D., Estes, J., Mills, S., Mattson, D., Dirzo, R., Arita, H., Ryan, S., Norse, E., Noss, R., Johns, D. 1999. "Corridors: Reconnecting Fragmented Landscapes". In Continental Conservation, Michael E. Soule and John Terborgh, eds. The Wildlands Project,Island Press. [PDF]
PROCEEDINGS/REVIEWS/REPORTS
Ryan, S. J., Rheingans, R., Amratia, P., Amaya, M.P., Laytner, L. A., Bagamian, K. H., Anderson, J.D., Watson, J., McNamara, K., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Ecuador.” World Bank Report, 51pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Bagamian, K. H., Anderson, J. D., Ryan, S. J., Amratia, P., Amaya, M. P., Bouland, J., Laytner, L. A., Watson, J., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Bangladesh.” World Bank Report, 56pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Anderson, J. D., Bagamian, K. H., Ryan, S. J., McNamara, K., Laytner, L. A., Amratia, P., Watson, J., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Democratic Republic of Congo.” World Bank Report, 56pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Bagamian, K. H., Anderson, J. D., Ryan, S. J., Laytner, L. A., McNamara, K., Watson, J., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Ethiopia.” World Bank Report, 56pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Bagamian, K. H., Anderson, J. D., Ryan, S. J., Laytner, L. A., McNamara, K., Amaya, M. P., Watson, J., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Haiti.” World Bank Report, 54pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Anderson, J.D., Bagamian, K.H., Ryan, S.J., Watson, J., Laytner, L.A., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Mozambique.” World Bank Report, 62pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Bagamian, K. H., Anderson, J.D., Ryan, S. J., Laytner, L. A., McNamara, K., Watson, J., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Nigeria.” World Bank Report, 54pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Anderson, J. D., Bagamian, K. H., Ryan, S.J., Amaya, M. P., Laytner, L. A., McNamara, K., Watson, J., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Tajikistan.” World Bank Report, 54pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Rheingans, R., Bagamian, K. H., Anderson, J. D., Ryan, S. J., Watson, J., Amratia, P., Laytner, L. A., Cumming, O. 2016. “WASH Poverty Diagnostic; Poverty Risk Model Assessment: Pakistan.” World Bank Report, 58pp. Report commissioned by the “Poverty Risk Models (PRM) for water, sanitation and health (WASH) project” for World Bank, Washington, D.C.
Bardosh, K, Ebi, K., Ryan, S.J., Welburn, S., Singer. B, 2015. “Addressing Vulnerability, Building Resilience: Community-based Adaptation to Vector-Borne Diseases in the Context of Global Change.” Review commissioned by the UNICEF/UNDP/World Bank/WHO Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases (TDR) as part of the research initiative “Population Health Vulnerabilities to Vector-Borne Diseases: Increasing Resilience under Climate Change Conditions in Africa.”With funding support from the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) of Canada.
Ryan, S.J., 2011. Invited Book Review. "Governing Africa's Forests in a Globalized World Laura A German, Alain Karsenty and Anne-Marie Tiani (Editors)". Natural Resources Forum 35(2): 146-147. [PDF]
Hartter, J., Ryan, S.J., Southworth, J., and Chapman, C.A. 2010. "Fortresses and Fragments: Impacts of Fragmentation in a Forest Park Landscape". in Proceedings of IUFRO Landscape Ecology International Conference. Braganca, Portugal [PDF]
Getz, W.M, Cross, P.C., Jolles, A.E., Lloyd-Smith, J.O., Ryan, S.J., Baxter, P.W.J., Bowers, J., Hay, C.T., Knechtel, C., Tambling, C.J., Turner, W.C., duToit, J.T. 2005. “Bovine Tuberculosis in the African Buffalo: The Role of Population Models”. in Conservation and development interventions at the wildlife/livestock interface: implications for wildlife, livestock and human health. Osofsky, S. A., S. Cleaveland, et al., Eds. Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK, IUCN
Ryan, S., Roth, A.M., Thompson, S.D., Gold, K.C. 2001. "Effects of hand rearing on the reproductive success of Western Lowland Gorillas in North America". in The Apes: Challenges for the 21st Century. Chicago, Chicago Zoological Society, p.99. [PDF]
Faust, L. J., Thompson, S.D., Earnhardt, J.E., Sherman, M., Brown, E. and Ryan, S. J. 2001 . "Innovative techniques in population demography to improve captive management of western lowland gorillas". Brookfield Zoo, 2001. in The Apes: Challenges for the 21st Century. Chicago, Chicago Zoological Society, p.207. [PDF]
THESES
Ryan, S.J. 2006. Spatial Ecology of African Buffalo and their Resources in a Savanna Ecosystem. PhD Dissertation, Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, UC Berkeley. [PDF]
Ryan, S.J. 1998. Primate Concerns: Development of a Rapid Censusing Technique, Social Effects on Pathogen Transmission and an Examination of Primate Conservation. BA Thesis, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University
Society for Conservation Biology, Board of Directors; 2013 - 2016
